{"id":116,"date":"2025-10-28T02:07:48","date_gmt":"2025-10-28T01:07:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/?p=116"},"modified":"2025-10-28T02:27:11","modified_gmt":"2025-10-28T01:27:11","slug":"politique-fiction-et-vote-utile-pour-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/?p=116","title":{"rendered":"Politique-fiction et vote utile pour 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"116\" class=\"elementor elementor-116\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b92f967 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"b92f967\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-544cd12 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"544cd12\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">La semaine derni\u00e8re Marine Tondelier a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 sa candidature \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidentielle. Voil\u00e0 qui me donne l\u2019occasion de d\u00e9marrer les hostilit\u00e9s en r\u00e9digeant une chronique sp\u00e9ciale Madame Irma consacr\u00e9e aux candidatures de gauche r\u00e9formiste pour 2027.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pour cette activit\u00e9 de politique-fiction, je suis parti des hypoth\u00e8ses suivantes, qui je le crois sont universellement partag\u00e9es :<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-396be0c e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"396be0c\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-752ca84 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"752ca84\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"387\" src=\"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-014934.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-118\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-014934.png 900w, https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-014934-300x129.png 300w, https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-014934-768x330.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d463aa6 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"d463aa6\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-21cb122 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"21cb122\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Partant de ces hypoth\u00e8ses, on peut \u00e9tablir tous les sc\u00e9narios possibles :<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-be7c768 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"be7c768\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e5e77ce elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"e5e77ce\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"602\" height=\"201\" src=\"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015954.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-124\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015954.png 602w, https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015954-300x100.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a899580 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"a899580\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f4e2231 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f4e2231\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>OU<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7367e4d e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"7367e4d\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dfec0dc elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"dfec0dc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"199\" src=\"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015130.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-120\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015130.png 800w, https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015130-300x75.png 300w, https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015130-768x191.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-737f35f e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"737f35f\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c1b7ce0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c1b7ce0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Avec, comme diff\u00e9rents sc\u00e9narios pour le premier tour des pr\u00e9sidentielles :<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6990574 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"6990574\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d3835fa elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"d3835fa\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"933\" height=\"377\" src=\"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015219.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-121\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015219.png 933w, https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015219-300x121.png 300w, https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Capture-decran-2025-10-28-015219-768x310.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 933px) 100vw, 933px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d00cbd1 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"d00cbd1\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9c359f1 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"9c359f1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8e600cb e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"8e600cb\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9c7f318 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9c7f318\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>Au bilan de ce splendide exercice de pens\u00e9e, plusieurs enseignements qui vont sonner comme des \u00e9vidences :<\/b><\/p><ol><li style=\"list-style-type: none;\"><ol><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Il n&rsquo;y a que cinq sc\u00e9narios possibles dont quatre avec quatre candidats \u00e0 la fin, assez similaires \u00e0 des configurations pass\u00e9es. La situation est moins complexe qu\u2019il n\u2019y para\u00eet, contrairement \u00e0 ce que raconte une grande partie de la presse.<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tondelier, Ruffin ou Faure n&rsquo;ont aucune chance d&rsquo;aller au second tour de la pr\u00e9sidentielle &#8211; ils forment le groupe des <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">uni-b\u00eates<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. D\u00e8s lors, la primaire est inutile. Mais elle va occuper l\u2019espace m\u00e9diatique un bon moment.<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">La candidature de Ruffin serait, de mani\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, contre-productive pour la gauche.<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">La probabilit\u00e9 que Glucksmann se pr\u00e9sente <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">finalement<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> est forte. Glucksmann a tout int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 manigancer pour que le PS ne passe pas par le processus d&rsquo;une primaire et que le parti se range derri\u00e8re sa candidature au plus t\u00f4t.<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>Le vote utile \u00e0 gauche est dans toutes les configurations le vote pour M\u00e9lenchon.<\/strong><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Il y a un sixi\u00e8me sc\u00e9nario cach\u00e9 \u00e0 d\u00e9bloquer : Ruffin gagne les primaires et au dernier moment il se d\u00e9bine car il se rend compte qu\u2019il n\u2019a pas les \u00e9paules. La good ending ?<\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/li><\/ol>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La semaine derni\u00e8re Marine Tondelier a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 sa candidature \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidentielle. Voil\u00e0 qui me donne l\u2019occasion de d\u00e9marrer les hostilit\u00e9s en r\u00e9digeant une chronique sp\u00e9ciale Madame Irma consacr\u00e9e aux candidatures de gauche r\u00e9formiste pour 2027.\u00a0 Pour cette activit\u00e9 de politique-fiction, je suis parti des hypoth\u00e8ses suivantes, qui je le crois sont universellement partag\u00e9es :&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chroniques-societe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=116"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":134,"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116\/revisions\/134"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=116"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=116"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fullhd.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=116"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}